This is from the 2011 September Diary Route letter
In a technology version of the Ellery Queen detective story, AIPL scientists took the Genomic data set (covering Holsteins, Jerseys and Brown Swiss) and went looking for gene pairings that never show up in a living animal. The assumption is that such a “haplotyte” (Genomic marker) must always be lethal in a homozygous pairing—either conception fails or embryonic death occurs. Five were found:
In a technology version of the Ellery Queen detective story, AIPL scientists took the Genomic data set (covering Holsteins, Jerseys and Brown Swiss) and went looking for gene pairings that never show up in a living animal. The assumption is that such a “haplotyte” (Genomic marker) must always be lethal in a homozygous pairing—either conception fails or embryonic death occurs. Five were found:
Gene ID Source ancestor Year born Frequency Effect on
Within breed Conception
HH1
|
Pawnee Farm Arlinda Chief
|
1962
|
4.5%
|
-0.35%
|
HH2
|
Willowholme Mark Anthony
|
1972
|
4.6%
|
-0.36%
|
HH3
|
Glendell Arlinda Chief,
Gray View Skyliner
|
1966
1954
|
4.7%
|
-0.36%
|
JH1
|
Observer Chocolate Soldier
|
1960
|
23.4%
|
-2.63%
|
BH1
|
West Lawn Stretch Improver
|
1968
|
14.0%
|
-0.98%
|
Of interest is Willowholme Mark
Anthony who is the lone Canadian and the newest line to be identified. The majority of HH2 descendants come through
a single daughter, Elysa Anthony Lea, who was dam of Comestar Laurie
Sheik and thus progenitor to every “Comestar” sire used in Canadian or
European AI.
Also of interest is Glendell
Arlinda Chief, avoiding the HH1 carried by his sire Pawnee Farm Arlinda
Chief but picking up from the “Burke” breeding on his dam’s side the HH3
shared by a premier Burke line sire of previous generations, Gray View
Skyliner.
The difference between these haplotytes and earlier lethal gene recessives
Many lethal recessives are expressed
by a visually defective or stillborn calf.
A recent exception was DUMPS in Holsteins, which produced early term
abortions (similar to the above Haplotytes).
Here is a list of lethal recessives for which AI sires are tested and
noted when carriers:
Holstein Brachyspina (BY), Cervical Vertebral
Malformation (CV), Bovine Leucocyte Adhesion Deficiency (BL), Mulefoot (MF),
Pinktooth (PT), Bulldog, Hairless, Prolonged Gestation.
Jersey Rectal Vaginal Constriction (RVC),
Limber Leg (LL).
Brown Swiss “Weaver” (W), Spinal Muscular Atrophy
(SMA).
But there are other recessive effects,
for example in Ayrshire (thus also Swedish Red) you
have the “fishy milk” gene—a recessive that gives the milk an oily consistency
and an off flavor.
Red hair color in Holsteins, White
spots in Jerseys—these are “benign” recessive genes. Horns are in fact a recessive that
everyone experiences (the Polled gene is the single-allele “dominant”
vs. horns).
Can we truly avoid all lethal recessives?
Yes, we can—if we want to do so. In earlier eras, we did it by never
sampling “carrier” sons of the higher ranking carrier parents. Thus when “Wayne” had Mulefoot, only his
MF “free” descendants (like the dam of ToMar Blackstar) were considered
for AI. Likewise if a sire line had
been widely dispersed, as was true with “Bell” (and thus BLAD), most dairymen
just decided they had enough of that line, and the market for sons/grandsons
dried up.
However, if you are the Jersey
breed and have 23.4% (nearly a quarter) of your genes tied up in that single
“Chocolate Soldier” sire line (which means Top Brass— Brook—Montana—Jace)
(which means Soldier Boy—Sooner—Berretta and Hallmark—Paramount)
(which means the dams behind Duncan—Lester—Lemvig and QS Royal—Alf and
Judds Admiral) the temptation will be great to just ignore this and
drive on, even if it means putting the breed’s high fertility reputation
somewhat in jeopardy.
Fertility is the basis of all Productivity
The beginnings of the AI industry were not a competition
over who had the best genetics—it was a test of whether the AI conception rate
would be superior to natural service fertility. Most dairymen in that era had multiple
animal species, and understood that “reproduction” came first before any
“production” that followed it—no calf, no milk thus no milk check. Our industry has played with substitutes for
a regular reproductive rate, like rBST, and covers up lower reproductive rates
with OvSynch and sexed semen, but the increased demand for cows with
“longevity” and ‘strength” are an indication that more dairymen still recognize
sound fertility as a primary selection criteria both in genetics and
herdsmanship.
Single trait genetic selection began to chip away at fertility quality
ABS (in its pre-Grace days) advertised “every sire proved
great” and from its base of the largest network of inseminators nationwide,
began promoting “genetics” as the basis for AI utility. They believed, and were supported by most
extension dairymen, that “milk” was the first (if not the only) trait worth
buying and belittled the “type” and “cow family” emphasis of organizations like
Curtiss and Carnation.
Unknown to anyone however, was the
internal insemination data reports, indicating a steady 1% decline in
conception rate each year. ABS sires
were selected on “milk” first, and even though their veterinary staff routinely
culled sires at the bottom of their ERCR reports, the overall average kept
declining. Why?
No one knew, because USDA only
summarized 305 day ME lactations, with no adjustments for calving interval, and
Breed Associations only summarized type scores. The data was there to link fertility to
genetic selection, but no one bothered to look at it until it started to
impact on AI semen sales.
Composite indexes to “rank” sires remain a “single trait selection” method
The purebred sector fought the
scientific sector for decades in promoting a multiple-trait approach to the
breeding of superior cattle, with more of an emphasis on lifetime
performance. To draw the purebred
sector under the technocrats’ wings, the concept of multi trait indexing
(weighting production and type traits by a formula into a single TPI or $NM
value) was borrowed from the terminal cross poultry and swine species and sold
to us as applicable to dairy sire and cow selection.
At the beginnings of this effort, lots
of data was collated to “prove” that the higher indexing sires would outperform
average indexing sires by a ton of milk per lactation. Over time, once the indexing concept had
taken over, the need for comparisons died away… but on the last genetic base
change, it was noted that “proven” sires now only had a $125 Lifetime “Net
Merit” advantage over jumper sires.
Why all indexes fail over time
Today we have Genomic testing
as the latest fad in “indexing”—an attempt to save a generation of selection by
skipping the sire sampling process and calculate sire rank from DNA
haplotytes. This method has been tried
twice in New Zealand (and has failed twice to identify the “top” sires even as
it succeeds as here in screening out the least likely prospects). Expectations remain unreasonably high.
The obvious inference not being
made is this: genes can be
identified as causal to individual traits, as that is a biological function of
gene transmission; however there is no “genetic” link to any economic
factors external to the biology of the cow on which all “ranking” indexes
are based.
Put simply, we can rank animal
performance in a current generation by any “index” reflecting current economic
conditions; but we cannot predict future economic viability from any
prior generation’s rank given the only genetic basis for improvement is in the
synergy of biological traits in selection.
The single trait selection nature of indexing promotes a suppression of heterosis vigor
Here is a simple factoid: Only four of the current “top twenty”
progeny tested AI sires were part of the “top twenty” Genomic tested sires in
the first year of G sire release to AI service. Of the realized “top twenty” [Holstein]
sires, the lowest initial rank under G estimation was 844 (out of 1015 G
sires).
This should surprise no one. The top five sires for PD Milk at AI levels
of Rel% in the 1966 USDA sire summary are virtually unknown today—none of them
produced a sire line that lasted more than three generations. Today’s exceptional sires become the definition
of “average” in three generations and in the past we would be seeking a new
sire line by then.
Because of this, we must recognize
that “heterosis vigor” requires a periodic change in genes selected to produce
the level of heterozygotic response in correlated groups of genes that impact
on realizable milk type and health trait performance, with fertility the
main prerequisite within health selection.
The formula for Productive Life estimation is a useful example
Buried within all the traits used in
estimating PL values on sires too young to have “matured” daughters is an
assumption that smaller cows last longer than big cows. This is exactly the sort of trait weighting
that becomes nonproductive over multiple generations, as lost size leads to
lost productive capacity.
The underlying statistics indicate the
shortest herdlife is experienced on the smaller “frail” cows. The bias against “large” cows is more based
in the general prejudice against “show cows” who tend to be in the highest
score ranges for stature, exceeding the dimensions of typical freestall
housing. But those cows who reach
maturity and excel in lifetime productivity will be larger than average in
weight (size) and average to slightly above in stature (upstandingness). Lots of data supports this.
A good example of how assumptions can
trump reality is the famous Regancrest Elton Durham CV.
His progeny data set has been as high
as +4.0 for PL on matured daughters, but his tendency to sire a “large” cow
regressed his PTA- PL values to +2.0 before Genomics, and he is now –0.2 PTA-
PL as a result of being tested for Genomics (and possessing all the haplotytes
for “size” than are currently under official discrimination). This negative assumption is weighted into
descendants like “Barbie”.
“Narrow” young cows are the surest route to “frail” cows
that never get old enough. Keep that in
mind.
Inbreeding is not pedigree based—it is index based
Think the Kiwi BW is better than the German RZG or
the US $Net Merit is better than the Canadian LPI? Think again. None of them produce more than three
generations of improvement without the support of a 40% cull rate to sustain
their data.
Three generations exchanges 87.5% of the initial
gene possession. At that point it is worth
while to consider how many limiting homozygous gene pairings were created.
Rotating sire generational focus avoids the true inbreeding
effect, allowing in new sires that can produce a “hybrid vigor” effect—a shift
from milk yield to component %s, a shift from angularity to substance in
physiques, a shift in favor of healthier fertility, as reflected in sires you
choose to use.
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